Round 11 – Sal’s Preview: Let’s go to the footy

Greetings All,

We reach the halfway mark of the season and crowds being down seems to be the talking point.  The problem is that the talkers on the subject mostly are from the media who either get free entry or are watching from the studio.  The notion that the reason is because of the standard of footy or umpiring is nonsense.  The footy is much better this year than some the defensive snorefests of recent years, as for umpiring I am struggling to remember a time where everyone was happy with the officiating.  Not sure about all the reasons but here are a few that I think do contribute.

 

  • Easy to watch on TV – especially if it costs so much more to get a seat under the nose bleed level.
  • Ticketing – the digital ticketing system in place this year has created more problems rather than fixing any.
  • Cost – in reality ticket prices are pretty cheap at $25.  However as mentioned earlier they are usually limited to seats high up in the grandstands.  Seating at lower levels close to the action are usually in the order of $40 more to secure.  Then throw food into the mix or $10 plus for sub-standard mid-strength beer and the value proposition diminishes.

But we either attend or watch and there are some rippers to look forward to this weekend.

 

Thin Lizard ($1.65) vs Taken a Kaning ($2.50)

A beauty to kick off the round with Sydney hosting the Tigers.  Sydney are getting plenty from Nick Blakey a raking kick and always up there with metres gained, they might need some from a few more to stop the rut losing 3 of their last 4.  The Tiger are on the opposite trajectory winning their last four.  They will be challenged this week losing Kane Lambert and Tom Lynch.  The Lambert injury is a tough one and we hope he can get back to play regularly again.  The small blue forwards were too much for the Swans defence last week, they will need to address that this week as the Tigers won flags on the back of speedy forwards against slow defenders.  At the other end the Tigers might have the same issue naming four big defenders.  Overall though I suspect the loss of Lynch will hurt the Tigers and Sydney will be keen to get their season back on track on their home deck.  That home deck swaying the selection to Sydney.

Swooped ($1.18) vs Handy Opener ($6.20)

The Giants would be pleased to kick off Mark McVeigh’s coaching tenure with a win – pretty handy against the Eagles.  Suspect they will find it tougher at the Gabba against a Brisbane team looking to get back on the winners list after being swooped on by the Hawks last week.  They don’t lose many at home.

Endangered ($1.11) vs Life of Reilly ($9.40)

The Cats will be without Dangerfield for a couple of weeks but it should not present an issue this week against the Crows.  Reilly O’Brien has done his penance along with Matt Crouch.  Getting Milera back might help solve their key issue at the moment.  Adelaide have not registered 70 points in their last five encounters with accuracy also being an issue booting 46.56 over that time.  The Crows might be feisty but the Cats are at home.

The Invincibles ($1.21) vs Drizabone ($5.40)

The last two weeks have been terrible for the Dockers.  Are they in a slump or are they just poor in the wet?  They get a big test this week at the ‘G’ against the champs.  Just don’t think they have the forwards to challenge the Premiers.

Simpson’s Donkeys ($8.60) vs Speaking English ($1.12)

 West Coast have plenty of talent in their team now and even more with Josh Kennedy back, they host the Bulldogs who get Tim English back.  Along with Jordon Sweet it is an advantage the Dogs should have over the Eagles rucks.  Their midfield depth should also hold them in good sway despite the loss of Bailey Smith.  However I smell an upset here, the Eagles team selected is as strong as they have had this year, surely they are smarting and have the opportunity to show something to their fans.

A Bit Dewy ($1.87) vs Maxxed Out ($2.12)

A game in the tropical North should see plenty of dew and slippery conditions, which might negate the Hawks lack of a ruckman with Max Lynch forced out through concussion.  Still suspect that Jarrod Witts will be a controlling influence on the game and if he is suspect the Suns will prevail.

Good to be the King ($1.10) vs Ring Ziebell ($10.00)

 The Saints look so dangerous once Max King can get a good leap at the footy, not sure the Roos have fit personnel to go with him.  Gee they would love Ben McKay to be fit.  What they do have is a warrior playing his 250th game.  Jack Ziebell has been Mr Fixit for the Roos doing whatever job his coached have asked of him.  Unfortunately his team will not celebrate with a win.

Lord Howe ($2.42) vs King Charles ($1.68)

The wet weather in Perth did not stop Jeremy Howe from taking another contender for MOTY.  Conditions should be better as his Pies host the Blues on the hallowed turf.  He might have to help look after Charlie Curnow who was superb last week with six goals, his smaller teammates can’t be ignored.  They were too snappy for the big Swan defenders, the Pies defense looks to match up a bit better.  At the other end the Blues need to deal with De Goey and Elliott who have toyed with them in the last few encounters.  Suspect Voss will have a better plan to counter them.  Ultimately suspect this will come down to the midfield and the Blues simply have the weight of numbers and should get enough possession to win this one.

The Other King Charles ($1.16) vs Ridley Me This ($7.00)

 Port get Charlie Dixon back in their bid to balance the books – won’t happen this week but suspect they will get closer.  They host the Bombers who get a few back including Jordan Ridley.  They showed better intent against the Tigers and that needs to be the minimum.  If they bring that effort level they will challenge Port but won’t win.

Go Friars, Go Blues,

Cheers, Sal

 

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Comments

  1. David Zampatti says

    Obviously your dismissal of Freo’s chances was a miscalculation of Scomorrison dimensions, Sal, but your list of why the crowds are down without even mentioning not wanting to risk catching COVID is, well, like ignoring climate change, dealing with corruption in politics and the treatment of women was, well, missing the bleeding obvious.

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