Crio’s Racing: The Memsie

In Melbourne, the last weekend of winter is teasing those for whom the next two months are the best of the year- the sun’s been shining, the footy season’s drawing to a close and the Memsie Stakes has lured horses which will vie for higher honours in spring.

In Sydney, alas, the Run To The Rose day is bogged in the big wet and will hardly be a guide for future glories – in fact, I’d be wary of following any of those who have gutbusters on bogs early in a campaign.

The combo of better tracks and a G1 upgrade has boosted the Memsie which is nowadays a mouthwatering entree for the feast. At 1400m around Caulfield it is not necessarily to the liking of all participants, but the replays will be scrutinised well after the winning divs have been settled. Puissance de Lune in particular will be seen to be at the crossroads, mostly because his 2013 boom was so loud and his comeback so muffled. Boban has ripper form down here but I’m off him completely until he savages the line again. Sweet Idea appears suited by the Heath’s 7f despite Gai declaring this was not her choice of race. Realistically this is the chance for Messene to showcase his wares, given the hard track and some “soft” opponents, but again I wouldn’t recommend him as nominal fav. This is probably Moment Of Change’s perfect chance for an early “Spring” kill, but again he’s not one of mine. So it is a process of elimination…I will certainly be including Silent Achiever and, at bolter’s odds, Sertorius in my trifecta. 11,9,5.

In a cynical response to complaints from last year’s “initiative” of the feature concluding the day, the MRC (and, in fact, all Melbourne clubs) have simply added one more to the programme to make it a 9 race epic, disgracefully hiding a $40k Benchmark earlier as burley for desperates.

By habit I still start my Quaddy deliberations at the now curtain raiser R5 – perhaps henceforth to be seen as a fundraiser to bankroll the multi!

A freshened Vain Queen will rightly be all the rage for this G3 1100m, but I am a Ricie’s Vibe fan and will be all over him E/W 1st up @8/1.

The McNeil is nowadays the first leg (MR6, 1200m, 3yo, G3). This race has a patchy history as an ongoing guide, though I do recall a memorable 2006 edition in which Miss Finland downed Haradasun! There’s invariably a hyped shortie – this year it is Nostradamus. Novel Dancer looks to be the logical value/danger.

The W W Cockram (trading as The Sportingbet Sprint Series Heat 1 Stakes!) is the pick of the card for mine. For mares over 1200m and at SW+P, this is a prelude to battles that will rage between the sprint/middle distance girls from now until the Myer Classic. Gregers might be pretty short. If the money arrives for Commanding Jewel, get on board.

After the Memsie the day concludes with a competitive Listed 1700m H’cp which will shape a lot of the aspirants for the rich Country Cups ahead. Some may even pursue bigger prizes. 7,8,9.

Looks like we’ll have a burst of summer on and off the track on Saturday. Might be a good day to enjoy out at Caulfield. My punting suggestions (other than to keep the good coin for later) are to try Divine City (2) at 33/1 in MR2 and then butter up E/W on MR5 No2.

Good luck!

Comments

  1. On way home so wait for a while for news.No mate didn’t back Yendall at Mildura . Sydney and the north coast of NSW is under water
    So caution is needed there

  2. Safe travels Oges.
    Mildura Cup result the subject of an inquiry (feather dusters usually).
    Winner’s stablemate led at a good rate and finished tailed off.

  3. Hi Oges, any tips for Adelaide ? I took Roadtripin’ in Mildura, due to the Berrigan connections; S Theodore B Honeychurch. However the same as in 2013, favourite, but running third both years. Third however is much better than fourth.

    Glen!

  4. cowshedend says

    Crio wish you luck with Richies Vibe, i can never catch it, will go without me.
    Weir’s nice horse Signoff returns and if he is anywhere near his best should win.
    I love Boban, huge run last start, but will be a long way out of his ground when they quicken in the Memsie, reckon he’s the lay of the day, love Messene.
    In the last like Stipulate, shocking record 2 from 20 but both wins have been first up as he is tomorrow, 18 of it’s 20 starts have been in group or listed races of which he’s been placed 11 times.
    Good Luck

  5. I wasn’t convinced by Boban 1st up. Hope he comes good as he was electrifying when in form last Spring.
    Rosehill’s clinging to a Heavy9. They must reckon punters give up if they post a 10.

  6. Glen I am still on tour heading back to SA but cross I’m missing Berrigans races tomorrow as we still have distances left in boggy NSW to get home.

  7. Reckon Gregers is the lay of the day. Like last time in, won brilliantly first up but is way unders at anything less than $4. I know trials are trials but don’t disregard Hazard who beat a horse called Lankan Rupee in one recently. Will be overs and not hopeless. Great race with plenty of depth which is why I reckon the fave is unders. Doubt Commanding Jewel would be wound up to win first up though she’s clearly the best filly in the field. Prefer Time For Julia in this.

    In the Memsie, I prefer to go with Moment Of Change and the under-rated Dissident than Boban (needs more pace on than is likely) and Messene (not proven at WFA).

    In other race, like Richie’s Vibe and Pago Rock in R5 and a couple at decent odds in R6, Chivalry and Awesome Rock, though do concede a chance to the filly.

  8. Budge,
    Coming out to The Heath?

  9. Matt playing golf in the morning so we might not get there til race 5 or 6.

  10. Spring must be about to be sprung, we are only need Elvis to come out of hibernation.
    I’m keen on Sauvito in the 2nd at Caulfield, goes OK fresh and has class, its good Melb form is Girl In Flight Marianne and Solicit so should be very hard to beat.
    Bass Straight is my middle pinner for the day at Caul. he has a bit of class, was a 10/1 shot in the Tookak last year and has good fresh form.
    Taking a risk in the Memsie and going PDL, good track form is actually OK. There is a bit of competition up front with at least 3 going forward and he may get last crack, wont be 3 deep all the way this week.
    Adelaide isn’t great but Goldbya is some hope on a good track in the 7th..good odds but needs pace on.
    I’ve couldn’t resist the 25’s Eigelstein in the 5th in Syd,back in its comfort zone and good in the wet but I have a bad record when I beat the odds.

    good luck

  11. Safe driving Oges.

    Glen!

  12. Jock,
    I have jumped on Morgan’s roughie in MR2 before Elvis rejoins the fray!

  13. cowshedend says

    Melham, awfully cold ride on Signoff , ran up behind slowing horses up the rail.
    Messene not up to that company, Dissident was outstanding, Boban was great and will be very hard to beat in any mile he enters, never been convinced it is suited to the 10f though, hope I’m wrong.
    Great feel of spring around

  14. Written like a bloke who’s won on the punt!?
    no joy for me.
    Wipeout for the book.
    All the smarties wanted Dissident (topfluc).
    You were right about Richie’s Vibe…bloody awful.

    Regroup now Dato to counterattack at your great day at the Valley next week.

  15. cowshedend says

    A thousand blessings grasshopper!

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