Cam Hooke’s Collingwood Life: Round 18 Review, Round 19 Preview

 

True Believers, I didn’t enjoy that one little bit, not even Q1. I seriously considered not doing a report. I thought it was our worst game that I have seen in terms of effort and application, particularly after the start. Carlton were (are) not that good. Apart from Walsh’s and Silvagni’s antics late in the game, they were very ordinary. Talk of Carlton as a Finals’ contender are a nonsense. But, as the scores indicate on the day, we were worse. And it hurts because we can do better, as we’ve shown against the top teams.

 

So, is 2021 over? No. We should seek to Win each of the remaining games, seeking to try-out different players and tactics that will set us up for next year.

 

For completeness, Round 18.

 

Round 18

 

Carlton 13.13.91 defeated Collingwood 9.8.62.

 

A look at the Goals scored by Quarter:

 

• Q1: 3 (us) / 1 (them);
• Q2: 3 / 3;
• Q3: 3 / 3;
• Q4: – / 6; and
• Total: 9 / 13.

Match Report. Go to https://www.afl.com.au/matches/3161

 

AFL – News, Fixtures, Scores & Results – AFL.com.au

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Harves’ Comments. Go to https://www.afl.com.au/video/650808/harvey-the-dam-wall-broke-a-bit-in-the-last-quarter?videoId=650808&modal=true&type=video&publishFrom=1626598416001

Statistics:

 

Checking the control of the ball ‘new game’ first:

 

• Disposals – 357 (us) / 350 (them);
• Uncontested Possessions – 227 / 208; and
• Marks – 117 / 115.

 

OK; what does that mean? Well, statistically we had the lead in possessions.

 

Drive:

 

• Clearances – 22 / 36;
• Inside 50s – 45 / 54; and
• Disposal Efficiency – 74.2% / 74.0%. Figures measuring player numbers with DE equal to or over 80.0% were 7 / 9 and equal to or under 50.0% were 1 / 1. Not hugely different except for the numbers inside 50, below.

 

Effort: Bucks was a strong supporter of effort being indicated by Contested Possession and Tackle numbers. So:

 

• Contested Possessions – 123 / 136; and
• Tackles – 62 / 42.

 

I’ll bet the numbers at 3/4 Time put us ahead. After that, we just stopped.

 

Critically important, the use of the ball towards the Goal? Inside 50 numbers:

 

• Tackles – 10 / 6. Good;
• Marks – 14 / 12. Better; and
• DE – 37.8% / 55.6%. Disastrous. So, with an inferior number of entries into the 50, we used it far less effectively than our opponent, and Lost the game.

 

Noting:

 

• Scoring shots – 17 / 26;
• Goals scored – 9 / 13; and
• Losing margin – 29 Points.

 

Best: Noble, Henry, Mayne, Crisp and De Goey.

 

Lessons:

 

• Grundy could be an effective Forward;
• Use Cameron and Grundy as the alternate Rucks;
• Adams, De Goey and Elliott alternating between the Midfield and the Forward line; potentially releasing Pendles to go elsewhere, Forward or Back, subject to need;
• Deliver the ball to a leading Forward – hard, low and flat; and
• We need to keep our attack up across the paddock for the entire game.

 

Experts? 56% of the Experts picked a Carlton Win. Go to http://whotippedwhat.com/round/afl-2021-round-18/.

 

AFL 2021 Round 18 – Who Tipped What – Who Tipped What Round 18: AFL 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 Home Away Print Less Stats The Verdict View Round Summary 83% 69% 75% 97% 97% 72% 97% 56% 81% All… Blogger Commentator … whotippedwhat.com

 

We need to start Winning; this is not good enough. Go Pies – I don’t think we should ever give up.

 

Round 19

 

 

Collingwood versus Port Adelaide.

 

Friday, 23 July; bounce at 7.10pm (AEST). Bounce time and location are in the process of changing as a consequence of Covid lockdowns. Keep an eye on this.

 

 

Them

 

Port are sitting 4th on the Ladder with a percentage of 119.8% based on 12 Wins and 5 Losses, compared with our 15th place, 89.8% and 5 Wins and 12 Losses. A comparison should lead to a very strong expectation that Port will beat us, by a substantial margin. Unfortunately for them, and fortunately for us, this season is proving difficult to predict – a couple of weeks back they Lost to Melbourne by 31 Points; further back they Lost to Geelong by 21 and way back in Rounds 9 and 7 (working backwards) they Lost to the Bulldogs by 19 and Brisbane by 49.

 

And when we met last in Round 10, they beat us by 1 Point. Our Best on that occasion were Adams, Grundy, Quaynor, Moore, Roughead and Crisp.

 

Throughout the season they have had a huge reliance on their Midfield of Boak, Wines and Amon. Backline – Aliir (I recall just how dangerous he was in our last game) and Forward – Charlie Dixon. A comment from an assessment of that prior meeting:

 

So we Won the Clearances and Inside 50s and the Contested Possessions but Lost the scoring shots and goals, and the game.

 

And for the ‘new’ game, we Won the Disposals 418 / 343, Uncontested Possessions 282 / 206 and Marks 138 / 99. So, as demonstrated by these numbers, we achieved possession and kept it; not turning over possession. Then there was Aliir. We need to work on going around such key defenders.

 

Players to watch:

 

• Boak – Rover / RR;
• Amon – Rover;
• Wines – Centre. Wines has been included in Port’s Best in 14 games (out of 18), so far, this season;
• Georgiades – FF / Interchange;
• Dixon – FP / FF; and
• Aliir – BP / FB.

 

Us:

 

Team & Tasks. Some changes are essential, particularly to cover the injuries:

 

Ins:

 

• Lynch. To take the principal ruck role, releasing Grundy to FF, alternating with him. He performed that role well at this level before being dropped and has had great game at VFL level;
• Ginnivan; and
• Sier.

 

Outs: We are in a world of hurt following this game:

 

• Hoskin-Elliott – injured / test;
• Mihocek – injured / test;
• Thomas – injured; and
• C. Brown – injured.  

 

Your thoughts?

 

Game Plan. We need to focus on:

 

• See Lessons, above;
• Application. High intensity commitment for four Quarters – bring the same energy as in Q4, against Richmond. Watch the Contested Possession and Tackle numbers. The chase and tackle must be maintained for four Quarters, and when we tackle, we have to hold on;
• Place Lynch as the principal ruck; move Grundy forward into the FF role supported by Cameron and Mihocek (if available) and Elliott and the other smalls (particularly crumbing). Critically important is the delivery Inside 50 to a leading Forward – one on one, Elliott has shown the ability to chest mark a leading kick and then to kick accurately. And try to go around Aliir;
• Keep the ball away from Charlie Dixon;
• Winning the Clearances. Dominate Inside 50s and look for a better placed goal-kicker. De Goey just appears to make things happen from the Midfield. Task on Boak, Amon and Wines is critical – whichever team wins the Midfield will Win the game;
• Drive forward off the HB line and out of the Midfield. Last time we met four of our Best 6 were from the Backline but we have lost Moore from that group. The other two were Adams and Grundy – critical to Win the Midfield battle, as above; and
• We can Win this if we get possession and keep it.

 

Conclusion. We can Win this; again, it will be regarded as a ‘major upset’, but we must control possession.

 

My picks. Collingwood to Win by 17 Points. BOG – Adams – 33 Disposals @ 83.2% DE; 14 Clearances, 6 Tackles and one Goal. Grundy – four goals and three Goal Assists.  Your thoughts?

 

Experts. Go to http://whotippedwhat.com/round/afl-2021-round-19/. Check it out later in the week.

 

 

AFL 2021 Round 19 – Who Tipped What – Who Tipped What Round 19: AFL 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Home Away Print Less Stats The Verdict View Round Summary All… Blogger Commentator Computer Predictions Ex-Coach Ex-Player … whotippedwhat.com

 

Weather. Forecast for Adelaide on the day of the game is for light rain. Melbourne weather looks even worse. Both predictions follow heavy rain the days before. Get rid of the moulded-sole boots.

 

TV. FTA coverage – on 7mate from 7.00pm. Note coverage of the Olympics on Prime7 starts at 8.30pm, not that I would ever encourage people to walk out of a game or switch channels before the final siren. Routine for FOXTEL and Kayo.

 

Other:

 

• Injuries. Go to https://www.afl.com.au/matches/injury-list.
• Footy Almanac. Go to https://www.footyalmanac.com.au/. Check out others’ comments under this – always interesting.
• Covid. Best wishes to all those suffering Covid lockdowns. Hope that the footy gives you some confidence in our eventual Win by Australia over the bug.

 

Go Pies.

 

Cam

 

The Tigers (Covid) Almanac 2020 will be published in the coming weeks. It will have all the usual features – a game by game account of the Tigers season – and will also include some of the best Almanac writing from the Covid winter.  Pre-order right now HERE

 

 

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