Almanac Horseracing: Caulfield Guineas Day – Saturday, 11 October 2025

We’re back to Caulfield this week for what is normally one of the better days racing in the year, although this year the field for the Group 1 $1,000,000 Sportsbet Might And Power Stakes over 2000m sees a disappointing four horses going around.

 

With 7 of the 10 races scheduled being at Group level and three of those Group 1’s we’re right into the spring carnival now.

 

 

Race 6 – Sportsbet Might And Power Stakes, 2000m

 

Not going to spend much time on this race in view of the small field. It’s a race in two – 2 Buckaroo and 5 Treasurethe Moment. Treasurethe Moment has a great record of 13 starts for 10 wins and 3 seconds and won most impressively first up. But she’s had a colic setback since then and was subsequently beaten into second place behind Pride Of Jenni at Moonee Valley over 1600m last start. I’m just a little concerned that the setback may have put her behind a little too much to be able to win here and you can’t fault the form of 2 Buckaroo this time in. He was beaten less than half a length over 1800m here last start by the new star of the turf in Australia, Sir Delius, and that’s good enough to win this. He goes on top, from 5 Treasurethe Moment and 4 Globe, who should lead them up here, goes in for third. 3 Hezashocka will earn connections $45,000 for going around and finishing fourth (sounds better than last!).

 

2 Buckaroo – 5 Treasurethe Moment – 4 Globe – 3 Hezashocka

 

 

Race 7 – Hyland Race Colours Toorak Handicap, 1600m

 

5 Sepals was most impressive winning the Group 1 Rupert Clarke Stakes over 1400m last start and goes up 5kg’s here on that win. He’ll carry 57kg’s in this and for mine that will be enough to make a winning difference this time.

 

I’m going for one at a bit of value here, in 9 Leica Lucy. Her run over 1400m at Flemington in Group 2 Fillies and Mares company when first up and carrying top weight was huge coming from the tail of the field. She’ll need them to be able to be running on here and will possibly need some luck but if they can run on, I can see here storming down the middle of the track and being too strong. She may still want further than 1600m but being second up and seemingly kept on the fresh side for this I can see her being too good for her opposition. She’s a very lightly raced Group 1 Oaks winner in New Zealand over 2400m but is also a two time Group 3 winner over 1600m and whilst being kept fresh for this did have a ‘tick over’ jumpout at Flemington late last week over 1000m.

 

Hardest to beat will be 4 Feroce, a Group 1 winner over 1600m, who ran on very well for third behind Sepals in the Rupert Clarke Stakes and meets him 3kg’s better at the weights here and will be suited better by the step up to 1600m. 5 Sepals goes in for third. He’ll race handy to the pace and make his own luck and if he can run out a strong 1600m is the obvious horse they all have to beat, and 7 Lazzura goes in next. She should get the run of the race from her barrier and has shown with her fourth to Fangirl in the Group 1 Queen Of The Turf over 1600m at Randwick in the Autumn that she can measure up to this class.

 

9 Leica Lucy – 4 Feroce – 5 Sepals – 7 Lazzura

 

 

Race 8 – Sportsbet Caulfield Guineas, 1600m

 

I think Chris Waller can make it a hat trick of Group 1’s at Caulfield with 2 Wodeton the one to beat here. He’s run very well in the best races but whilst it may sound a little harsh, he’s probably yet to live up to the boom placed on him after his first race start win, and he’s yet to win another race since that day back in January this year. He comes into this race off a solid second behind Beiwacht in the Group 1 Golden Rose over 1400m at Rosehill and I think that’s the best form for this race. The stable has elected for James McDonald to ride him here and from barrier 10 but coming in a couple if there’s no scratching’s he can hopefully get one off the fence in a midfield to forward position and be too strong in the straight. 8 Navy Pilot will be hardest to beat. He finished his race off very well first up, over 1100m before winning well second up over 1400m. He’s placed over 1500m and does have the benefit of having had one run over 1600m previously. 3 Vinrock jumped awkwardly and got out of his ground last start at Moonee Valley, but his best form can see him in the finish here. He’s drawn wide which could prove tricky for jockey, Mark Zahra, and 4 Nepotism won the Group 1 Champagne Stakes over 1600m at Randwick back in April and whilst he’s yet to show up in two runs this campaign the step up to 1600m here will suit him.

 

2 Wodeton – 8 Navy Pilot – 3 Vinrock – 4 Nepotism

 

 

Best Bets:

 

Caulfield race 2 #5 Point Barrow. Was a huge run from back in the field last start at Moonee Valley in Group 3 company over 1200m. She’s drawn out here but they’ve only got to navigate one turn from the 1200m start at Caulfield, and she can prove too strong for these.

 

Rosehill race 9 #12 Miss Roumbini. She went in the blackbook after her last start second to Sepals in the Group 1 Rupert Clarke Stakes over 1400m at Caulfield. She was storming home in that race at Group 1 level and looks well suited here.

 

Another chance:

 

Rosehill race 8 #9 Elamaz. I was keen on him first up and said he was a horse to follow. He was disappointing there, but I’m giving him another chance here second up over 1900m. He’s drawn to get the run of the race, if he doesn’t in fact lead, and the 1900m should suit him perfectly. He’s trained on well since his first up run and whilst co-trainer, Adrian Bott, is on the record as saying his best may still be 12 months away, he can win here and I’m happy to be with him each way at the odds.

 

Gamble Responsibly. Chances are you’re about to lose.

 

 

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