AFL Round 14 Preview – Four Minutes of Fantasy

Happy World Cup to All,

 

But alas Australia will not be going through to the next phase, not a result that surprises many given the difficulty of the assignment.  But for four fabulous minutes we dared to dream as they took the lead from the Netherlands,   Much has been said about the quality of the team’s play and it is fantastic that they took the game to both Chile and the Dutch, but what separates the good teams from the great teams is the ability to execute in the final third of the pitch.  Australia has Tim Cahill who must rank with the best of them in the world but little else in fire power, the competition have plenty of executioners up front especially against a young and brittle Australian defense who hopefully will be better for the experience.

 

But onto this week’s footy.

 

Washington ($5.00) vs The Big Show ($1.23)

The Buddy Show is off and running but missing a key member of the support cast with Hannaberry injured, this week the Tigers get the honour of being the Washington Generals in the prime TV slot.  Richmond have a good recent record against Sydney at the G, but their form was also better than what it is now.  At $5 a Tiger might entrust some hard earned but I can only envisage a Sydney victory.

 

Port ($1.12) vs Pleasant Sunday Afternoon ($8.60)

A pleasant Sunday it may have been for Bob and the Bulldogs in beating the Pies, but the reward of a six day break and a trip to the Portress might not make Saturday afternoon so pleasant!  The Dogs will be brave but Port will get back on the winners list.

 

Return of the Bookends ($1.42) vs Lost their Grundies ($3.30)

The “Get Carter” match with both presidents gunning for the Geelong leader, how dare he question Eddie and Andrew!  A 2.00 Saturday blockbuster at the G – how will the fans react?  More importantly how will Collingwood react to the loss to the Bulldogs, Brodie Grundy seems to have paid the price although Bucks does have him lurking on the emergency list.  The Hawks did enough to beat Carlton but would that be enough against better opposition. The return of bookends Lake and Gunston improve them at both ends of the ground, by the same token Beams back for Collingwood stretches their midfield capability not to mention his goal scoring nous.  The Hawks are building a great record over the Pies winning the last 5 encounters and I expect them to make it 6, however Collingwood will be primed after last week and represent great value at anything above $3.

 

Gazza ($2.70) vs Dropping by an Old Friend ($1.54)

The Cats get to visit their old mate at the Mansion, they have selected a pretty strong side and I expect them to be too strong for their hosts.  The return of Christensen will provide a bit more flair to the side which could be very important later in the year.

 

Purple Reign ($1.04) vs Mr Brown’s Boys ($20)

Hoping Jonathon Brown makes the best decision for himself on his future, he has given everything to his club and the game.  Unfortunately his team without his presence really struggles and there is no bigger struggle than Freo at home.  The odds say it all.

 

Hird Mentality ($2.44) vs Charddy Sippers ($1.67)

The odds don’t say it all in this game, on form Adelaide deserve favouritism but it is much closer to a toss of the coin game than what the numbers indicate.  The form of both clubs can most accurately be described as flaky and while Adelaide were great last week they have been pretty poor on the road.  Tumultuous times at Essendon but they return to the Loungeroom where they usually play well although this year’s evidence is contrary.  I reckon the Bombers are very fair value at $2.20 and they are my selection this week

 

Lion Hunters ($3.05) vs A Boult for the Blues ($1.47)

The Giants got hold of the Lions last week and will be right up for a crack at the Blues.  In the last two weeks Carlton have thrown everything at superior opposition, but the week before they did not turn up against the Lions and got their just desserts.  Great to see Levi Casboult making progress – the league needs more great aerialists.  Whilst the Blues should be able to deal with GWS any let down from the last two matches will expose them.  Carlton to win this – but GWS certainly to give it a shake and might be worth something at the $3 mark.

 

The Lost Boys ($6.40) vs The Corporation ($1.17)

Alan Richardson may not have been happy with the Saints last week, but it is a very tough assignment for a young team up at the Cattery.  He will have them up for this one against another very flaky outfit in the Eagles.  St Kilda have been more competitive at home, but I suspect West Coast will holds too many guns for them.

 

Rope a Dope ($3.70) vs Ghost Hunters ($1.36)

After absorbing all the Bombers effort early in the game the Dees got going to fall over the line – a win for Roos style.  Might not be how we like to watch footy but living with a couple of Demons they don’t care how a win comes.  Can they do it again against what should be a highly motivated North Melbourne side who will be hunting for that spirit that they lost some around Mt Gambier last week.  I suspect North will have too much on the line and find their spirit.

 

Friar Time

 

The Under 19s are the very early match on a triple header day for Caulfield Grammarians.  The Fields are at the foot of the table but do have talent so the young Friars will need to be on their mettle.  The seniors host Williamstown who do not have a great record on the road, by the same token the Friars record this year is not that good wherever they are playing.  A tough encounter and critical to the Friars season.

 

Go Friars, Go Blues and for my Aunt – Go Doggies

Cheers Sal

 

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