Round 15 – Sal’s Preview: And we go again!

Greetings All,

 

Not much time to either celebrate or lick the wounds these days!

 

Not a Day Game ($1.44) v On the Crouch ($3.20)

 

The Hawks get to take on the Crows in Adelaide – surely a chance for the Crows to get one on the board.  They have put in a couple of handy efforts but then fallen away.  The Hawks have rested a couple in Shiels, Frost and Day – getting Burgoyne and Impey back is handy.  Brad Crouch back provides the Crows with a bit more midfield power and might even pump up his trade value.  Not beyond the Crows but reckon the Hawks have them covered.

 

Take Me Home ($1.50) v Don’t Eat Cale ($2.98)

 

The Eagles failed their test away from home, at least they face a lesser credentialled opponent in the Bombers this week.  Not sure how much a factor the loss of Josh Kennedy was last week but he remains out so the load sticks with Darling, the inclusion of Allen will help.  Essendon get a couple of important players back in Heppell and Hurley and they celebrate Cale Hooker’s 200th.  Has been more than handy at both ends of the ground.  A much closer match up than the satchel swingers have it with the Bombers pretty well structured, just think West Coast will make the right adjustments to get over the line.

 

Only a bit Grim ($1.14) v Return of the Colonel ($7.60)

 

Grimes out for the Tigers doesn’t help, however it does give him a rest and the chance to see how the defense copes without him.  It still looks pretty solid, good players help but they really play the system.  Freo’s fell apart against the Giants, they move away from Perth making it very difficult to see how they can match the premiers.  The return of Hogan will be something to follow as will be any further attention on Nat Fyfe.  Tigers to prevail.

 

And we are back again on Thursday.

 

Seemed a lot of panic about the Tigers last night, not sure why.  They were confronted, never lost the lead, their best players were down and they won running away.  Was more ominous rather than a worry.

 

Sitting Ducks ($3.50) vs Christianity ($1.38)

 

The circus heads to Cairns where the Swans are lined up for the Demons.  Sydney matched it with Port but for one quarter; the one quarter lament is a problem for younger teams.  The Demons had their lapse against the Saints but were able to hang on with assistance of Petracca’s strength and insufficient scrutiny on the goal line.  (I reckon it was over anyway.)  Sydney have a reasonable line-up selected and could prove bothersome especially if Kennedy and Parker can hold sway in the midfield.  Will be difficult but they are capable.  The big challenge is getting through the Demon defence where Steven May is leading and delivering.  Swans not without hope but too much has to go right so expect the Demons to prevail.

 

Jake in the Box ($1.55) vs en-Cripp-ted ($2.76)

 

The Giants have beaten the Blues by 15 goals plus in their last two encounters, one major change since them has been the coach.  Can it make up the difference?  From a belief perspective – probably.  Now the capability.  The Blues remain so dependent on Patrick Cripps – is he playing injured?  Some question mark after hurting his knee last week – at some stage both Patrick and the club need to trust the group to play without him.  It was another game where the opposition got moving and there was no response from the Blues to turn it back around.  Meanwhile the Giants got themselves back in the hunt taking Fremantle apart in the West.  They have unearthed a beauty in Jake Riccardi providing them the contest on THE forward line that has been lacking for weeks.  The Blues have bounced off defeats pretty well during the season, but reckon last week was a bit more demoralising than some of the other losses.  Reckon the Giants might have them again.

 

Mein Host ($1.51) vs Lion Tamers ($2.90)

 

Brisbane get to host the big one!  They have a great reputation playing at home – except when it comes to the Pies.  They have not beaten the Pies since 2014 and then not since 2010 at the Gabba.  There are mental scars.  Brisbane have one key out in Stefan Martin who is best equipped to take on Brodie Grundy, whose second half last week dispelled any concerns on his health or hunger.  When Taylor Adams turned the wick up last week the Blues could not go with him, the Lions need to match that intensity.  The Pies kicked a score last week but have struggled overall, they got a key mismatch so Brisbane need to ensure they have appropriate coverage.  Reckon Collingwood win this at the other end though, Cameron and Hipwood are not big targets.  If the Pies can apply enough pressure their defence should be able to pick off enough forays and turn them around to generate scores for themselves.

 

And that is Round 15, with Round 16 starting the next day,

 

Go Blues,

 

Cheers, Sal

 

 

 

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