Crio’s Racing: Have a bet at Eagle Farm this Saturday

Have a bet at Eagle Farm this Saturday. It’s always the best Qld meeting of the year. Justify it, if you must, by dedicating your presumed winnings to escaping a frozen winter for next year’s Straddy Day!

Focus your funding on the 3 feature Group Ones, the first of which is for the juveniles (T. J. Smith, 1600m, 2.20EST). Toppy, Hot Snitzel, is justifiably short here so won’t even pay for the cab to the Airport. Either use it as a multi leg or look deeper in to the card for value in the other big races.

The Qld Derby seems to have a lot with little chance…the stocks of the Colts are considered not so strong at the moment and it is disappointing that boom filly Scarlett Lady is missing – she’s left favouritism to her stablemate Shootoff who will be most challenged by another pair of girls, kiwi Shez Sinsational and serial sinner Heidilicious. Although she’s now trialled and jumped using a barrier blanket, I can’t keep feeding Heidilicious and will put my faith in Luke Nolen to pounce on Turnitup. An interesting if not top notch Derby.

The gender question has also been foremost in debate about the Stradbroke Handicap, specifically the hoodoo surrounding mares’ inability to win at all since the race changed to 1400m many moons ago. Beaded, you see, was the logical tip until historians conspired with a bad gate to frighten punters away.  Ironically, though, I’m going to put my faith in a female to get me on to Webjet – in this case the hoop, Lisa Cropp, who will be trying to help Raffaello overcome another historic blackspot by winning the million dollar race first-up. At 33/1 this is the value bet.

Almost as an afterthought I’ll remind analysts that the Brisbane Cup is also on this card – no longer Group One nor 2 miles nor a leg of the Quaddy, it’s a 2400m Quality (Gr2) with Glass Harmonium likely to start evens or shorter. He got away with murder in front last start but can do so again here.

It is a really good meeting and try to get involved and, one day, get along.

The other preferred destination for punters this weekend – too late I guess for 2011 – is the 3 day Swan Hill Carnival which might be a backup if the Brissie funds don’t arrive! Some of the blokes at the ‘Bool were saying that Swan Hill has its own magic and, despite freezing night, is a more bearable daytime temp. This is the meeting which launched Elvstroem and Haradasun and, after some tinkering, the Club appears to have settled on a Friday start and a Sunday Cup, giving revelers the chance to come back on the holiday Monday. Wish I’d gotten organized and booked on the train. Today (Friday) features the $70,000Golden Topaz (Open, 1200m)which is the meeting’s Wangoom – ironically this year’s Warrnambool sprint hero, Uxorious, is likely to pinch the double. Sunday’s Cup (R7, 1600m, $85,000)is a big, even field and my early tip is for No7, Ransom Willy.

Flemington’s the venue for Melbourne races, but not, for me the destination. I’ll be keeping tabs on the Sunshine State and dreaming of a winter escape next year.

Good punting!

Comments

  1. Probably a bit harsh ignoring what is a good mid winter meeting at Flemington and might try to make sense of fields there later. any tips?

  2. Just read that Uxorious won the Topaz at Swan Hill today. How good would that be….getting the Wangoom/Topaz double in the one year? That’s as much fun as you could have with a country galloper.

  3. david butler says

    Crio, my memories of this Brisbane meeting over the years are of big priced winners to go with the big fields. Is that your recollection or am I dreaming ?

  4. johnharms says

    Dane Ripper, one of many.

    However, I also recall at that meeting there was a massive crowd and the queues for payouts on interstates mainly were so long some went to the flexiteller to get mroe funds and collected winnings later. First time I have ever seen no queue at the Flexiteller and bookies’ queues 50 long for race after race. I even won. (Bacey’s Brother and Keep the Bacon, and then our little girl ran an unlucky fourth.)

  5. David Downer says

    Might be worth mentioning Royal Ascot kicking off tonight for those lucky enough to have TVN/Sky at home. “Our very own” Star Witness will start favourite in the recently Australian-mortgaged King’s Stand Stakes (12:05am). Steven Arnold to ride – if only he could reacquaint with So You Think tomorrow night also. He might only have D.O’Brien’s ear on this trip though, not A.O’Brien.

    The two other highlights tonight are the amazing Frankel in the St James Palace Stakes (12:45am). Also worth noting is the first (11:30pm) featuring three time Breeders Cup Mile winning mare Goldikova.

  6. Thanks for that Dave.
    Isn’t it a fantastic coverage, except for the tool in the caravan (though he gets his relevance later)?
    Silent witness was unwanted in early betting and missed the start in what was not rated a very strong race.
    Love how they put the features stright up. R1, in this case, was the pick of them.

  7. David Downer says

    Agree on the coverage Crio, it’s sensational. They seem to have the balance just right, and no overly pompous garbage you might expect given the perceived grandeur of the occasion. Now we even have a choice of coverage – can flick between the UK attheraces telecast on TVN, or Sky World with David Raphael catering to the Australian audience. D.Raphael’s obviously up the media pecking order in the world racing game – he’s on the spot grabbing interviews from everyone. Love his enthusiasm, and knowledge, and he sure knows how to pad out time when required. On the UK telecast the ginger mutton-chopped John McCririck provides the eccentricity. Wonder what bizarre attire he’ll regale us with tonight. The bloke in the booth must be their version of TVN’s Richo – a little too much red cordial at times.
     
    Black Caviar would have won the sprint by five or six. Star Witness bungled his chance at the start last night but should win the Golden Jubilee on Saturday – a lot more prizemoney on offer too.
     
    Frankel’s race was a complete oddity in terms of their tactics, but provided great theatre, and hey, he still won. It highlighted again the significant difference between Australia and UK racing with the use of the pacemaker, which seemed particularly unnecessary in this event . Given the long odds-on pop Frankel is a free-wheeling speed machine, why would the stable put in their own pacemaker? They just made it harder for themselves! And would an Aussie jock ever contemplate doing what Queally did mid-race on Frankel? To Frankel’s credit he seemed to kick again in the last 50m to hold them off.
     
    More late night hot chocolates to come this evening, with So You Think at 12:45. Very excited about this one.

  8. The ATR coverage is essential for any race fan. John McCririck might sometimes go off the wall and appear a freak show, but he is on the program because of his knowledge – so despite his eccentricity rather than because of it. He was doing tic-tac and tips when I first got absorbed in English racing in the mid-80s. I loved his enthusiasm for the first race, The Queen Anne. No network beat up here. They correctly forecast it down to the thrilling final furlong and debated the relative odds earnestly. The little weed in his caravan was painful, but his role grows throughout the day.
    Star Witness was brave and looked a hope for a few bounds. The market indicated early that he was no good thing. Whilst he was unloved the eventual winner was backed for a stack.
    And I loved Frankel’s race. Gee that straight looked long. He was paddling.
    Great stuff. Watch. Learn. Enjoy.

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