Almanac Horseracing – Sal’s Tips: Flemington, Adelaide and Rosehill

Greetings All,

 

Another week with not much editorial content around sport.  We are hearing murmurings of footy, how will it all matter with no one there?  To the broadcasters leave the noise alone we don’t need to hear fake cheering, the sound of the players and umpires will more than suffice.  Interesting that both rugby codes have shed leaders during the week, the pandemic situation has exposed weaknesses across so many business models.  How will this disruption affect all sports at the grass roots level?

 

It has not affected racing though unless you want to be there.  Will miss Flemington on Anzac Day, gives us respite from the Collingwood-Essendon brouhaha.  We still have respite in 2020.  No Group 1 racing this week so we will focus on Flemington and have a glance and see if we can find a winner in Sydney and Adelaide.

 

Flemington

 

Looks a good program with a couple of shorties right in the middle.  Those in the red ink went under last week, do we maintain the faith?

 

The opener is for the babies over 1400m with a wide range of form coming, hard to have much confidence.  Key watch will be Grandslam (R1, #1) being a brother to Jameka it is sure to have grand plans ahead, more of a race to watch than to punt on.  A throw at the stumps in the next with Pierrocity (R2, #10) has won second up and the stable is flying, #3, #7 and #12 are the shorties all with good chances.  Run to Perfection (R3, #1) is the watch in the 3rd transferred from NZ to D O’Brien, has a big weight to carry but just might better then them all.  #3, #8 and #12 all with chances.

 

The Melbourne Cup Winner Vow and Declare (R4, #1)gets out to a suitable distance after a couple of runs over 2000m, has plenty of weight to carry but only 5kg over the minimum.  #6, #8 and #9 the main dangers.  Another shorty follows to open the Quaddie in the much spruiked Russian Camelot (R5, #3), loaded with talent and ran great time last start.  Still learning and get things wrong so pretty risky at worse “than yours for mine”.  Highland Jakk (R5, #10) beat him home in the spring and looks overs to me, other hopes to #2, #3 and #9.

 

The time honoured St Leger sees the 3yo stretch out to 2800m and the form of Grand Crown (R6, #2) looks terrific for this.  Bellx (R6, #11) and Coin Collector (R6, #3)  chased him home last start and could turn the tables, however the biggest threat comes from Chains of Honour (R6, #1) who has been hampered by wet tracks in Sydney.  They charge down the straight in the penultimate event and maybe the favourite’s name is appropriate!  The Inevitable (R7, #1) is a ripper and the apprentice claim provides enough weight relief, all provided the inside is the place to be.  Threats are #7, #8 and #13 and if the outside rail is hot then the old boy Illustrious Lad (R7, #4) comes into calculations.  The expanses of Flemington will suit Kaonic (R8, #6)in the last, hasn’t won for a while but that win was here on Cup Day 2018.  Tough finish to the Quaddie plenty of other hopes with #3, #7, #8, #11 leading them plus #19 if scratchings get it a run.

 

Around the country.

 

Trying to hold off till late in Adelaide for their penultimate race with Vinland (R8, #2) in very good race.  Another good race follows in the lead up to the derby with Dalasan (R9, #2) in the tomato sauce, his previous start justifies that 2000m is unchartered territory.  Very competitive race with VRC Derby winnerWarning (R9, #1) competing along with a few other well credentialled runners, Playoffs (R9, #7) looks a fair each way proposition.

 

In Sydney we have Hawkesbury at Rosehill due to the restrictions on jockey locations.  Maher-Eustice takeThe Defiant One (R1, #4) up after a 3rd at Geelong, their strike rate with the babies in Sydney is impressive.  In Her Time (R4, #1) looks well placed back in mares company.  All Too Royal (R5, #5) was scratched from winnable race in Melbourne for this, some handy opposition.  The Guineas is tough perhaps Spend (R6, #6) is worth a shekel.  Happy to get out on True Detective (R9, #6) with JMac on board.

 

Quaddie Time

 

Flemington

 

A wide last leg makes for some tough decisions.  Do you take Russian Camelot one out?  Big risk for a horse that is still learning.  Will skinny up the last and put a couple in to beat him in the opener.

 

Leg 1 – 2, 3, 4, 9, 10

Leg 2 – 1, 2, 3, 4, 11

Leg 3 – 2, 7, 8, 13

Leg 4 – 6, 7, 11

 

It is a different Anzac Day we face, missing much of the pomp and ceremony but the message and the meaning stay the same.  Find a way to buy a badge and get a game of two-up going in your driveway.

 

Lest We Forget

 

Cheers, Sal

 

Our writers are independent contributors. The opinions expressed in their articles are their own. They are not the views, nor do they reflect the views, of Malarkey Publications.

 

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Comments

  1. Bill Linkson says

    About time this Footy Almanac got into COVID NO FOOTY mood and started dishing out racing tips !!! Giddy Up Footy friends

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