AFL Round 6 – Preview

John Harms with a few thoughts on Round 6 and why it is a very pickable card.

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About John Harms

JTH is a writer, publisher, speaker, historian. He is publisher and contributing editor of The Footy Almanac and footyalmanac.com.au He has written many columns and features for numerous publications. His books include Confessions of a Thirteenth Man, Memoirs of a Mug Punter, Loose Men Everywhere, Play On, The Pearl: Steve Renouf's Story and Life As I Know It (with Michelle Payne). He appears on ABCTV's Offsiders. He can be contacted j.t.h@footyalmanac.com.au He is married to The Handicapper and has three kids - Theo10, Anna8, Evie7. He might not be the worst putter in the world but he's in the worst three. His ambition is to lunch for Australia.

Comments

  1. Mark Duffett says:

    Hope you’re wrong about this. I’ve gone the other way on 3 out of the first 4.

  2. Peter Flynn says:

    I was half expecting the Swans to be drawn to play Korweinguboora next week.

    Lo and behold, they finally start to play the big boys. About time.

    This (fix)ture is a joke.

    The bigger joke is that we just accept it.

  3. Peter_B says:

    Too right Flynny. Swans have the softest draw since Black Caviar. Peter Moody must be doing the Swans fixture.

  4. John K says:

    In a round where the median tipping outcome was nine from nine, John Harms was spot on!
    He’s good, but how good was he?

    Collingwood v St Kilda
    JTH: Collingwood by 18 points
    Outcome: Pies by 26 points [-8]

    Essendon v GWS
    JTH: Essendon by 100 points
    Outcome: Dons by 39 points [-61]

    North Melbourne v Port Adelaide
    JTH: North by 16 points
    Outcome: North by 10 points [-6]

    Adelaide v Hawthorn
    JTH: Hawthorn by 13 points.
    Outcome: The baby poo yellow/browns by 11 points. Excellent, John. I hope you took the 11-20 margin bet. [-2]

    Richmond v Geelong
    JTH: Geelong by 15 points.
    Outcome: Geelong by 46 points. A slip, there. I think John was being tentative about the quality of his own own team [-31]

    Gold Coast v Fremantle
    JTH: Freo by 17 points.
    Outcome: Freo by 35 points [-18]

    Sydney v Brisbane
    JTH: Sydney by 29 points
    Outcome: Sydney by 60 points [-31]

    Carlton v Melbourne
    JTH: Carlton by 40 points.
    Outcome: Carlton by 61 points [-21]

    West Coast v Western Bulldogs
    JTH: West Coast by 60 points.
    Outcome: West Coast by 70 points. Oh, so close. [-10]

    NIne from nine but still 193 points away from perfection or an average of 21.4 points adrift per game in Round Six.
    That’s not bad at all, John Harms. I’m impressed.

    In the footyalmanac 2013 tipping comp at footytips.com.au, 24 of the 55 tipsters achieved nine from nine this week and three of those picked the perfect margin for Game One. Eleven of the 55 were within four points for the correct margin for Game One. That’s stunning. We are a smart mob.

    In 2014, one of the hundreds of online footy tipping comps could think about mounting a competition where you have to pick the margin for every game, not just the first game. They could offer a huge prize, $500,000 or something, if anyone manages the hole in one. And charge punters $1 each week to enter. Now there is a goldmine of a thought. Anyone reading this is welcome to pick it up if they are willing to send me 1% of their turnover. Half of the proceeds of that contract will go to the maintenance of this site – the rest will purchase a vat of champagne.

    This is a patent-pending intellectual-copyright-aware post.

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