The First Goal – How Much of an Advantage?

Stats-porn warning! The prevalence of numbers and what they tell us about a game of footy is increasing exponentially from simply looking at kicks, marks and handballs at a furious pace. James Grapsas contributes this mighty [and rigorous! – Ed] probability-based investigation on the importance of scoring the first goal and how it explains the likelihood of your team winning games. An amazing body of work.