My Premiership, Tipping and Brownlow Prediction Results

Well it has been a long year, there has been so much going on, for me, and the footy community. At the Footy Almanac it has been a joy to read everyone’s posts and I want to assure you that the mega posts will be back next season. But first I would like to show you how my grand final tipping went.

My Grand Final Tipping Results:

Adelaide 123 Richmond 79/Adelaide 60 Richmond 108

0/1

Well I was off by a lot there. Or you can say I was only 1 tip off from a perfect score. Each week since I started the mega posts in something like round 14, so now I will do my average tipping score and all of my results since that round. I hope you enjoy.

My 2017 Tipping Results:

Round 14 – 3/9

Round 15 – 5/9

Round 16 – 5/9

Round 17 – 8/9

Round 18 – 5/9

Round 19 – 6/9

Round 20 – 6/9

Round 21 – 5/9

Round 22 – 6/9

Round 23 –  5/9

Finals Week 1 – 1/4

Finals week 2 – 1/2

Finals Week 3 – 2/2

Grand Final – 0/1

Average – 5/9

That was all my results for the tipping this year from when I started, it is good to see that I got over half on average.  Now, I have been doing this all year since I started in round 4 when I deemed the Dockers the premiers from that point, there has been a lot of other teams, but now here is my first premiership method.

My First (Weaker) Premiership Method:

This is a little thing that I used to do when I was younger to see who I would think would win the Premiership. Who I think will win the premiership will change throughout the season. I will do an update every time it changes. I know it is not a very good method and it is not reliable, but here goes.

The final script for it:

The reigning premiers start off as favourites then whoever beats them are favourites then whoever beats them are favourites and so on. Western Bulldogs start off as favourites and they have only had one team beat them which is Fremantle and that was in Round 3. Fremantle lost against West Coast so that means that West Coast are favourites. West Coast lost to Essendon so that makes Essendon favourites. Essendon lost to Richmond so that means Richmond are favourites. Richmond lost to Sydney and Sydney lost to Hawthorn, Hawthorn lost to Richmond so Richmond are favourites. Richmond lost to Geelong so Geelong are favourites.

This is how I went:

1. Geelong (3)

2. Richmond (1)

3. Hawthorn (12)

4. Sydney (5)

5. Essendon (8)

6. West Coast (6)

7. Fremantle (14)

8. Western Bulldogs (10)

So that was the weaker one but surprisingly I wasn’t that far off. Now to the stronger one.

My Second (Stronger) Premiership Favourites:

This is a more complicated version of it. So the reigning premiers are the favourites and whoever beats them are favourites. If the favourites have been beaten before the round that they got beaten on then the team with highest winning margin on them and so on.

This is the Final Script:

Western Bulldogs start favourites, the only team that has beaten them are Fremantle, Fremantle have lost 2 games. One against Geelong by 42 and the other one against Port by 89. So Port are the favourites. They have lost 2 games, 1 against Crows by 17 and 1 against GWS by 31. Therefore GWS are the favourites. GWS have only lost 1 game and that was against the Crows. The Crows have lost 1 game and that was against North Melbourne North Melbourne have lost 5 games the most against West Coast by 43.

 

West Coast have lost 2 games, the most by 50 against Hawthorn. Hawthorn have lost 5 games, the most by 86 against Gold Coast and Geelong. Gold Coast have lost 4 and Geelong have lost 2. Geelong have lost 2 games, the most against Collingwood by 29. Collingwood have lost 5 games, the most by 29 against Geelong.  Geelong have lost 2 games, the most against Collingwood by 29, we have already been down that path and it would go on a endless loop so the other team they lost to is Gold Coast.

 

Gold Coast have lost by 4 games the most by 102 against GWS. GWS have 2 games, the most by the Crows by 56, we have already been down that path so it will be on an endless loop so the other game they have lost was against St Kilda by 23. St Kilda have lost 3 games, the most by 38 against Geelong. Geelong have lost 3 games and 2 have been mentioned already, the other game was against Essendon.

 

Essendon have lost 4 games, the most by 65 against Crows. Crows have lost 2 games but we have already been down one of those paths, the one that we haven’t been down through was against Melbourne. Melbourne have lost 4 games, the most by 29 against Geelong. Geelong have lost 4 games and we have been down 3 of lose paths. The other one is against West Coast. West Coast have lost 5 games, we have already been down one of those paths. The most by 61 against Essendon. Essendon have lost 6 games, the most against the Crows but we have already been down that path so second is against Collingwood for 38. Collingwood have lost 7 games, the most by 29 against Carlton. Carlton have lost 7 games, the most by 90 against Port Adelaide.

 

Port Adelaide have lost 5 games, The most by 70 against Essendon. Essendon have lost 6 games. We have been down 2 paths so the 3rd the most losing margin is against Fremantle by 37. Fremantle have lost 6 games the most by Crows by 100. The Crows have lost 3 games the most by North Melbourne but we have already been down that path so the second highest margin is against Melbourne. Melbourne have lost 5 games the most by 29 against Geelong but we have already been down that path so the second highest margin is 14 against North Melbourne.

 

North Melbourne have lost 4 games, the most by 43 against West Coast but we have already been down that path, so the second most is by 42 against Sydney and GWS, the highest score out of them, was Sydney. Sydney have lost 6 games, the most by 42 against GWS. GWS have lost 3 games we have been down to of the paths so the only path left is against Carlton. Carlton have lost 7 games we have already been down 1 of the paths so the second highest margin is against Richmond. Richmond have lost 5 games the most by 76 against Adelaide.

 

Adelaide have lost 3 games we have been down 2 of those paths so the only path left is against Geelong. Geelong have lost 4 games and we have been down all of those paths except against West Coast. West Coast have lost 5 games we have been down 2 of those paths. The third most is against Richmond.

 

Richmond have lost 5 games, we have already been down one of those paths so the second highest path is against Sydney. Sydney have lost 6 games, we have already been down one of those paths so the second highest is against West Coast.

 

West Coast have lost 5 games and we have already been down 3 of those paths so the fourth highest margin is against GWS by 8. GWS have lost 4 games and we have been down 3 of those paths so the only path left is against Sydney. Sydney have lost 7 games, we have been down 2 of those paths so the 3rd highest margin is by 28 against Port.

 

Port have lost 6 games, we have been down 2 of those paths, the next match is against Adelaide by 17. Adelaide have lost 4 games, we have been down 3 of those paths and the only left is against Hawthorn. Hawthorn have lost 9 games, we have been down one of those paths so the second highest margin is against Geelong, Geelong have lost 45 games and he have been down all of those paths except 1 and that was against the Crows, the Crows have lost 5 games but we have been down all of those paths except against Sydney.

 

Sydney have lost 8 games, we have been down 3 of those paths. So the 4th highest margin is against Western Bulldogs. Western Bulldogs have lost 11 games but we have already been down one of those paths, so next is by 59 against the Crows. The Crows have lost 6 games and we have been down those paths except against West Coast.

West Coast have lost 10 games and we have been down 4 paths, the next margin is Port Adelaide. Port Adelaide have lost 8 games and we have been down 3 of those paths, the next is against the Crows. The Crows have lost 6 games and we have been down all of those paths.

This is how I went:

1.Crows (2)
2.Geelong (3)
3.Gws (4)
4.Sydney (5)
5.Port (7)
6.Tiges (1)
7.West (6)
8.Essendon (8)
9.Melbourne (9)
10.Dogs (10)
11.Hawks (12)
12.Saints (11)
13.Pies (13)
14.Freo (14)
15.Carlton (16)
16.North (15)
17.Suns(17)

So for that one I went okay but now I will go to my Brownlow Predictions.

My Brownlow Medal Results:

So first i will do my top 10 predictions.

1.Tom Mitchell (3)

2.Patrick Dangerfield (2)

3.Dustin Martin (1)

4.Zach Merrett (12)

5.Josh Kelly (6)

6.Clayton Oliver (23)

7.Adam Treloar (26)

7.Sam Docherty (69)

9.Mitch Duncan (26)

9.Matt Crouch (26)

Now I will do the number if votes on the top 10 predictions.

1.Tom Mitchell 46 (25)

2.Patrick Dangerfield 44 (33)

3.Dustin Martin 37 (36)

4.Zach Merrett 31 (15)

5.Josh Kelly 26 (21)

6.Clayton Oliver 24 (12)

7.Adam Treloar 23 (11)

7.Sam Docherty 23 (5)

9.Mitch Duncan 22 (11)

9.Matt Crouch 22 (11)

That was my predicted votes, and now for the last thing of the post, Each Clubs leading pollers.

Adelaide – Matt Crouch (Rory Sloane)

Brisbane – Dayne Beams (Dayne Zorko)

Carlton – Sam Docherty (Bryce Gibbs)

Collingwood – Adam Treloar (Scott Pendlebury)

Essendon – Zach Merrett (Zach Merrett)

Fremantle – Lachie Neale (Nat Fyfe)

Geelong – Patrick Dangerfield (Patrick Dangerfield)

Gold Coast – Gary Ablett (Gary Ablett)

GWS – Josh Kelly (Josh Kelly)

Hawthorn – Tom Mitchell (Tom Mitchell)

Melbourne – Clayton Oliver (Clayton Oliver)

North Melbourne – Ben Cunnington (Ben Brown)

Port Adelaide – Oliver Wines (Oliver Wines)

Richmond – Dustin Martin (Dustin Martin)

St. Kilda – Seb Ross (Seb Ross)

Sydney – Luke Parker (Josh Kennedy)

West Coast – Andrew Gaff (Josh Kennedy)

Western Bulldogs – Marcus Bontempelli (Marcus Bontempelli)

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