Gigs’ Stats: Season’s highest score, flag omens and much, much more

Andrew Gigacz’s Round 22 Stat. Declaration

A PLEASIN’ SEASON FOR MORE THAN ONE REASON

Everyone knows who won and we know who’s playing who and where and when next week, so let’s get straight down to the stats that really don’t matter:

•    Adelaide waited until the final round to deliver the highest score of the home-and-away season (176). It’s the first time since 2003 that the season’s highest score has been registered in the season’s last round, when North Melbourne achieved the feat, coincidentally also against Carlton.
•    In the Dogs v Magpies match, the first and third quarters were drawn, with the Dogs winning the other two quarters by exactly two goals. Had just one of the Dogs’ goals in each of the second and fourth quarters gone to Collingwood, we would have had four drawn quarters and (obviously) a drawn match.
•    The top eight sides all scored more than 2000 points for the season and the bottom eight all scored less than 2000. That is the first such occurrence since the competition expanded to 16 teams in 1995.

FLAG OMENS

1. The general consensus is that the team that wins the flag is one of the higher-ranking defensive teams. The last ten years suggest that to be generally true. Two flags each have been one by sides ranked 1st, 2nd and 3rd, defensively in the last ten years. One premiership each has gone to teams ranked 4th, 5th, 6th and 10th. If you were to frame a market based on this, St Kilda (1st defensively), Collingwood (2nd) and Adelaide (3rd) would be equal favourites, with the Geelong (4th), the Bulldogs (6th), Brisbane (5th) and Carlton (10th) level on the next line of betting. You could write your own ticket on Essendon, which ranked 12th defensively this year.
2. On the other side of the ledger, the break down of the last ten premiers from a “points for” perspective is: Three flags each to sides ranked 1st and 3rd, two to sides ranked 2nd, and one each to sides ranked 4th and, incredibly, 14th (Sydney 2005). Based on this, flag favourites would be the Bulldogs and Carlton, followed by the Cats and then the Saints. The other four sides in the eight would be a squillion to one.
3. On the other OTHER side of the ledger (I know, just indulge me and imagine a triangular ledger with triple-entry accounting) the same ten years yields the following break down, percentage-wise: Three premierships each to sides ranked 1st, 2nd and 4th and ONE flag to a side ranked 3rd. The gives equal favouritism to St Kilda, Geelong and Collingwood, with the Western Bulldogs a distant fourth. Oh my God, Johnno, you should have MISSED that shot at goal!

THIS WEEK’S DÉJÀ VU MOMENT

In the Dogs-Pies thriller, Leon Davis produced a kick he’s unlikely to forget for a long while. His short kick across the face of the Dogs’ goal in the second quarter landed in the arms of Brad Johnson, who slotted the easy shot from just 20 metres out. For Footscray fans, this was a return in time to the 1984 season at the Western Oval, when late in a game, also against the Pies, a similar attempted pass by Collingwood’s Gubby Allan, was cut off by Simon Beasley, who converted to give the Dogs victory by under a goal. If my memory serves me correctly, the video footage of the moment after Beasley’s mark shows the Dogs’ Jim Edmond pointing at his own head and mouthing the words “you’re f**ked” to poor old Gubby.

SCORE WARS

This has turned in to a race of epic proportions. While 85 has hung on to win the Dr McScorend Trophy (awarded to the most-recorded score as at Round 22), 94 and 67 have issued late challenges which could still see them victorious in the Score Wars battle. 67 popped up twice in round and 94 also registered once this round. They are both now on 10, just one behind 85. 94 is looking to go back-to-back, having won in 2008 with 11 occurrences. 100 also popped up twice this week, taking it’s 2009 total to 8, a great effort from a score that was not seen at all last year. Three of the eight occurrences have been by Brisbane, including Saturday night in Sydney.

THE MARGINAL MEDAL

Things were less active is this department but are no less tight than in the Score Wars battle. 5 leads the way on 8, one ahead of 15, despite neither of them appearing in round 22.

HARD TO BELIEVE, STEVE

Here’s what the man with the numbers that make your brain number, Steve Healy, had to say this week:

•    On Saturday, Adelaide scored a record high score of 27.14 176 at Docklands. 24 and a half hours later, Collingwood and the Bulldogs scored a combined total 176 (10.16 76 to 14.16 100) to make the winning margin three times less than Adelaide’s. The Crows’ frees for count (21) was also the total of frees from both sides in Coll v WB. (Collingwood had 11, Bulldogs 10).
•    The Bulldogs made their mark, taking a huge 166 marks compared to Collingwood’s 75.
•    It was also a strange game on another front.  The combined total of 74 tackles from both teams was the lowest in a game this year, and the total of 88 from both teams in the Melbourne v St.Kilda game made it a super soft Sunday. St Kilda’s Robert Eddy had the most tackles on the Sunday, with 6. The crowd at Docklands for Collingwood v Bulldogs was 48,888, which caught my eye, because it was eight weeks ago that 54,444 was recorded at the same venue.
•    The Dees started their season with a score of 10.7 67 against North Melbourne on Sunday at the MCG. 21 games and four wins later, the Dees recorded the same score against the Saints. The team wasn’t the same though. Eight different players lined up in the red and blue in the opening round, when Robertson, Wheatley and Whelan all missed. 67 was also the number of scarves that Robbo got around his neck when he did his lap of honour.
•    For the second week in a row, Essendon have had the same number of possessions as their opposition. Essendon equalled Hawthorn’s 341 this week and Freo’s 344 last week.
•    While Nick Dal Santo had a lowly nine possessions against North Melbourne last week, he decided to up that by 30 for a total of 39 this week. But then, anyone can get 39 possessions when they are let loose for the whole game.

ANNAGRAMMATICAL YEAR OF THE WEEK

Richmond’s first half against the Eagles produced quarter and half time scores of 1.3 and 5.5. 1355 was the year that King Peter I of Portugal’s lover, Inês de Castro, died. Her name is an anagram of DESECRATIONS, and the Tigers’ season has really been a series of desecrations against the name of this once-great club.

POSTCODE OF THE WEEK

The Saints returned to the winners’ list against Melbourne but are the out of the jungle yet? Their quarter by quarter goal sequence of 2, 5, 3, 7 suggests maybe not. 2537 is the postcode of Congo.

ZIPCODE OF THE WEEK

Carlton’s quarter and half time scores of 7.2 and 10.5 combine to make 72105, the zip code of Jones Mill in Arkansas. The official population of Jones Mill is 90 which matches the percentage of Saturday’s game against Adelaide during which Carlton were total crap.

Meanwhile Adelaide’s equivalent zip code was 63137, which belongs to “show me the way to” St Louis and the Crows certainly showed Carlton the way on Saturday evening.

THIS WEEK’S RIDICULOUS FOOTY ANAGRAM

While it was Brad Johnson that delivered the climax to the drama that was the Dogs defeating the Pies, it was very much Brian Lake and Matthew Boyd who wrote the script of the storyline that had the Dogs waiting until the final minute of the match to deliver the blow that knocked  Mick Malthouse and his team down a place on the ladder. And that’s probably no surprise when you consider that “Matthew Boyd, Brian Lake” is an anagram of “TAKE HIM DOWN LATER, BABY”…

About Andrew Gigacz

Well, here we are. The Bulldogs have won a flag. What do I do now?

Comments

  1. Steve Healy says:

    Nice, Gigs.

    Carlton V Adelaide was also the combined highest scoring game this season with 280.

    the next best was Colling V Freo (254) and Freo V WB (251), Carlton V Melbourne last week follows with 249.

  2. Peter Flynn says:

    Well played Steve,
    I enjoy reading your stats.

  3. The Gubby Allan kick to Beasley in 1984 (referred to above in the Deja Vu section) can be seen at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9k5rTNZWqZA – the real fun starts at around the 2:00 mark of the video. Watch for Jim Edmond’s cameo at around 2:22. And check out Tim Lane’s beautiful moustache at the end.

  4. Lucas Garth says:

    Probably a more pertinent (painful for Pie fans) stat is premierships since the new final 8 came in, in terms of finishing position

    1 – 4 (2000, 2004, 2006, 2007)
    2 – 3 (2001, 2002, 2008)
    3 – 2 (2003, 2005)

    4 to 16 – 0

    So chances of success:
    45% – St Kilda
    33% – Geelong
    22% – Doggies

  5. Lucas, I’m happy with a Dogs or Saints flag so it’s nice to know I have a 2 out of 3 chance of seeing it.

  6. Thanks for adding the link the the Gubby Allan to Beasley video on the home page, Daff.

    I’m glad you did that because I think it’s good to bring up the old stories and memories, especially ones that involve heartbreak for Colingwood fans.

    And what Leon Davis did on Sunday was incredibly similar, although at a different time of the game. In both instances, I was at the other end of the ground so the viewpoint was eerily similar. As soon as it happened I yelled out “he’s channelled Gubby Allan!” but I think most people around me thought I was just a lunatic (and fair enough too).

    Gigs

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