Crio’s Racing: The time-honoured C F Orr and other opportunities

No time for idle distractions this week. It is C.F.Orr Stakes Day at Caulfield, always a terrific prelude to the higher profile autumn features and generally a time for some real good ‘uns to emerge.
The great drawcard, undoubtedly, is All Too Hard, the regally bred colt whose clockwise “teasers” tested punters’ dedication. Back in Melbourne for his last 2 runs, his true class emerged – an exhilarating lunge to deny Pierro in the Caulfield Guineas and then a heroic second to Ocean Park in the Cox Plate. Good form! He’s got a hoof on History if he comes back fit and well. The Orr is a tricky assignment first up. 10 time G1 winner, (King) Mufhasa will try to dictate from the front and ATH may need the hit out. Let’s hope the young star can shine and have a dazzling Carnival.
His subsequent programme (Australian Guineas/Australian Cup)matches several others’ who have chosen to resume via the Autumn Stakes (MR6, 1400m, G2), the first leg of the Quaddy – these include the VRC Derby winner, Fiveandahalfstars (1), and other classic colts Super Cool (2) and Hvasstan (3). Bookmakers presume they’ll need the run and are favouring 6 and 10 to fight out this Group 2.
As previously hinted, the simplest approach to the second leg (MR7, C.F.Orr Stakes, 1400m, G1) is to top and tail.
Unless you are committed to a weekly Quaddy, I’d sit it out this week, but some can’t be told.
Hence, MR8: 8 goes in. 11? 6. MR9: Put in Loveyamadly (10) as it is 2/1 so, if you are still alive, you can crush it on Betfair. Certainly not a punting proposition.
On a blacktype strewn card, early interest will focus on the intriguing build up to the 2013 Blue Diamond, with some Sydney form gracing The Heath and challenging pundits to decipher the various formlines which converge for the Preludes (MR3+4).
The fillies’ division will impact greatly on Feature prepost betting. Darley horses are flying and Metastatio has impressed as a likely kind in her two recent wins – yet she was not nominated for the Diamond with Peter Snowden insisting that Guelph is their elect. We’ll see when she steps out under the Caulfield spotlight (MR4, G3, 1100m, 2yo fillies). She will be a tight quote and will have to manage the tricky circuit, so best to “Watch”.
There is growing conviction that2013’s batch of Colts might be just off the pace this season, but their heat looks to have a bit of depth this week (MR3, G3, 1100m, 2yo C+G). Gai arrives in town once again full of hope, this time for her main aspirant, Marseilles Roulette (C.Williams up). The opposition is interesting. Tony Vasil produces The Bowler, another of those which has attracted early specking but has not been seen. We have already seen Moody’s Dissident surprise with a swooping win on his home track and rounding out the big stable representations is Kuroshio, displaying the prominent cerise with white sleeves. A fascinating race. There’s a suspicion that this mob will comprise the E/W value come 23 Feb.

Apologies to anyone concerned by the Melbourne-centric nature of my overview – Almanac racing certainly welcomes comments on all matters and from all states and continents.
I see, for example, that the Hobart Cup and the Naracoorte Cup are listed for Sunday – both great places for a day at the races and with form worth studying.
Back in Victoria it is Mornington Cup Day on Wednesday – a huge event on the Peninsula with some big prizemoney in the Inglis Classic for 2yo, the Hareeba (Listed) for the dashers and, of course, the Cup (Listed) for stayers. The weather forecast is bright so schedule an RDO.
Time to post this so I can get some serious study underway. All comments are welcomed. I’ll be at Money Valley Friday night and at Caulfield on Saturday if anyone is on course.
Good luck!

Comments

  1. Hareeba – now he could seriously go!!

  2. A flying machine Budge in a time of some pretty good ones. It was a catchy name – by Al Hareb, it was meant to sound like that little Mexiczn cartoon mouse.
    Owned by Frank Sedgeman and pals if I recall.
    Strong Mornington connection and rightly given a race down there.
    Elvis – unsure if Jack McGreal figures in the Hareeba tale.

  3. The Goolwa boys are back in Melbourne having a crack again. David Jolly had a double at Strath this week and Dennis Oleary isnt afraid to travel if he thinks he has one good enough and ready
    Both have good chances (but then Im biases)
    KI Cup next Sunday Crio – cant wait

  4. Crio,

    Form and logic aside , I will be having something on the 8 in the last at Caulfield. In probably the most memorable day of my life, I gathered with Mum and my four brothers in November of 2011 and spread our late, great father Ernie’s ashes along the 1200 metre starting position at Dad’s favourite course, The Heath.

    Whilst I am the only one of the five boys to have inherited Dads love of the gallops, they all still take an interest in 1200m races at Caulfield.

    Saddlecloth 8 in this 1200m race has the perfectly occasioned name Never Forget. I will be having something each way, along with the 3, also fittingly called There’s Only One.

    Budge,

    Perth Trainer Simon Miller (no relation, he’s actually a Victorian) is a very, very good young conditioner. Have something on Darlington Abbey in the 2nd. If it runs second last, you can rip the shit out of me. You can’t lose. Like backing Collingwood.

  5. Elvis,

    Ernie the toolmaker..legend.

    Get a bank for it with Mawingo in the Orr, I’m pretty keen as I think the fav will not be quite ready and Mawingo just didn’t come up last time ( virus or something like that) but all other form was great.
    I notice some interestingly bred newcomers tomorrow. Mick Price has a first starter by Tapit in the 4th. Sire has a pretty good record, maybe you breeding buffs may be able to elaborate. Wouldn’t be a surprise if a few good one appeared on the scene now.

  6. Jock,

    Thanks mate. You remember he was a Toolmaker with 5 boys. That’s pretty great.

    The Tapit 2yo is one I was going to back on pedigree. By a young sire who has thrown a juvenile Group 1 winner in the States, she is out a close relation to Palace Music. Dam by Jade Hunter is out of a Nijinsky mare o/o a Buckpasser mare o/o a Turn To mare o/o a Mahmoud mare o/o a Sir Gallahad mare.

    Great, old fashioned, successful blood up close.

    I agree with you regarding Mawingo. If they’ve got his head right he wins.

    Get on the Perth filly in the second. (But don’t tell Budge)

    I’ve drunk more than 10 men. That means I will wake up on at least the 18th of Feb. Let me know who won the Blue Diamond.

  7. Cheering for you tomorrow Elvis. Ernie the homing pigeon…legend!

    Beautiful night in Melbourne yet the smallest crowd I can recall in the ring tonight. The game’s shot.

  8. Blue Diamond is the 23rd. You’ll only have missed the Lightning and I can fill you in on that (and the attendant hysteria) now.

  9. I am potting the favs in R3 and backing Fast n Rocking. Big jockey upgrade.

  10. OK. I’ve had time for a stubbie and a study.
    Guelph is a lay at the odds.
    Good mail for High Shot (R6). What a win at Cranny. Somehow this is a G2. Another on a Guineas programme.
    Good luck.

  11. Missed the race. How did the Perth filly go?

  12. Skip of Skipton says:

    Is the Diamond on the 23rd? I thought it was next week.

    My mate (VRC member) was saying that he is going to the Lightning next week, and I told him he wasn’t. The Diamond is next week. The Lightning is the week after. ‘No it’s not’ he says. ‘Yes it is’ I said. ‘You’ve got your dates mixed up”. “No I haven’t” he said. ‘Yes you have’ I said. “You’re off your rocker” I said. ‘No, you are” he said. ‘No, you are” I said etc. etc.

    I’m on the 100/1 shot in the Orr. Also Mr. Moet, who is race fit and hard.

  13. Sorry Skip. He’s right which means you’re the opposite.

  14. Think I’d prefer Mawingo at Flemington. Reckon King Mufhasa just controls the race like last year.

  15. Skip of Skipton says:

    That’s right Budge. I am wrong so infrequently, that when I am; I like to share it.

  16. David Jolly will be a happy man after his win with Budgriguez – great run to lead all the way .Might get another tip at the beach this week

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