Crio’s Racing- Flemington 26-6-10

Here’s the first certainty of the weekend, though I doubt you’d get set. Today’s “current bun” rates the Flemington track (Rail Out 12m) as a SLOW6. We’ve had a stack of rain here this afternoon and, to be honest, I’d say they are more likely to be called off than rated slow.

Mick Goodie’s had a lot of trouble with the shifting surface lately and, despite its draining qualities, it is a day to take heed, study racing patterns and, especially, look for mudlark sires. I’m not as up-to-speed here as was once the case – God bless “Lunchtime” all those years ago! – but I do know that the Johannesburg progeny relish a bog…thus R1 No2, Cyndiana Star, and R5 No11, Dingane.

The races themselves are standard fare for mid-winter and this is by no means a bad meeting. The betting ring, even I concede, will be a desolate place, but there is plenty of cover elsewhere at HQ to enjoy a Saturday which lacks alternative AFL/VFL footy options.  There’s even a Members upgrade easily organized, especially for MCC cardholders.

The best of the interstate meetings is at Eagle Farm, where the Group 1 WFA Winter Stakes highlights a really good card. I’ll be trying to retrieve some Deer Valley money against a crack field. In the Group 3 Healy Stakes First Command will need to regain punters’ trust after lowering his colours two weeks ago. Tough race but I still rate him very highly. For those taking a Qld Quaddy , I’d advise keeping the topweight, King Mufhasa, in the last leg. He’s still got a race win in him.

Good luck if you are game for tomorrow. I’ll just be taking a little Quadrella at Flemington, coming home with Mt Gambier’s  9 y.o. evergreen (green, white horseshoes and cap to be precise), Riceman. His Slow form is only “middling”, but he’s won 6 on the Heavy and, in his backyard, they know what a real gluepot is.

Comments

  1. Crio,

    Congrats re the big horse on Wednesday. Luscious odds. I am still in Queensland (Form wise)

    The good Perth galloper Hay List (Hi Budge) wins the Healy Stakes.

    The Winter Stakes and I think Melito has already run 2 or 3 of her Grand Finals and won’t salute. Culminate ran a good race in the Strddy and I reckon she will go close, along with another Kiwi, Wealth Princess. I will also be throwing in Set For Fame. She might be top of the woozer.

    I agrree with you that King Mufasa is a chance in the last. My only doubt is that he has a touch of the Sir Slick’s. He doesn’t bring his long white cloud form to Australia. I will be backing the Moody import Luminous Eyes. B Shinn and maybe set for an esy stakes win to enhance her broodmare value.

  2. Sage as always Elvis.
    The Winter Stakes is a ripper with so many chances. You are probably right about the toppy in the last but I’d nothing else!

  3. Elvis,
    I can’t believe that I typed WFA for the Winter Stakes and then took no note of the weights in my calculations. Fav is good but short enough.

  4. Crio,

    Luminous Eyes (The last) ran 9th in the Irish 1000 Guineas as favourite (albeit at $15 according to RVL web site) 2 second up starts for a win and a 2nd in a Group 3.

    I might be on to something here.

    Note: King Mufasa is OUT.

  5. Rushing to Betfair right now. Will report soon and can get on for you if req’d.

  6. $14 available for a little…check other preposts

  7. $18 fixed odds on TAB

  8. Crio,

    $16 UNITAB fixed price here at present.

  9. Indicates it will be about 20/1…a good get out!

  10. Crio,

    I’m going down to back her at the 16’s. Good to get it out of the way before I sober up and rationalise.

  11. Heavy10 declared for Flemington…HoHum, where’s VanderHum!?

  12. There’s another Crio’s question. The great wet-trackers- I’d kick it off with Stainvita and Rough Habit.

  13. Ahhh, the “Stainvita meter”…there’s a memory! We were years ahead of the penetrometer.

  14. Indisputable visionaries!

  15. Check the breeding on R1 winner, Soul. Snowden’s stocks have been below par, but this might be put away until Spring. Authoritative and bred to be a winner.

  16. Yes, I saw its out of a half-sister to Denman. I see Elvis’s pick in the last in Qld is into $13 fixed price on TAB -where there’s smoke…

  17. Peter Flynn says:

    Old Ricecat hey?

    I used to own 4 of its nasal hairs.

  18. Love to see him over the jumps on a wet Warrnambool track.

  19. Peter Flynn says:

    A hurdle over 7-8 furlongs would be its go.

    Great get to tip it Crio.

    It always eluded me.

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