True Believers, that was awful! A weekend skipped by the girls but a close Win to the Two’s. Always interesting to check who’s doing well there, particularly after a bad week (or weeks) in the AFL side.
Firstly, a big ‘Side by Side’, Pies welcome to our newest member, John. Welcome. Enjoy.
Magpies Netball: No game last weekend. Apologies for the misleading comments by me last week. The girls’ next game: Round 9 – Sunday, 23 April. See below.
A terrible game. I did not enjoy it one bit. The most concerning thing to me was the lack of application after the first quarter; the most concerning thing in the first quarter was our total inability to exploit our almost total control of the game – so wasteful (which has been absolutely representative of periods of each of our other games, this season). The next game is critically important; as is the one after that; etc; etc.
Match Review. Go to http://www.afl.com.au/match-centre/2017/3/syd-v-coll and http://www.collingwoodfc.com.au/video/2017-04-17/we-couldnt-replicate-the-pressure and Buck’s view at http://www.collingwoodfc.com.au/video/2017-04-16/full-postmatch-buckley – A fair question is Who is ultimately responsible after such a performance? The Coach is, of course, fundamentally responsible for ‘group motivation’ (sorely lacking during the game) and I don’t pretend to understand Pendles’ lengthy stay on the bench in Q3 (regardless of what he said later – is he injured?). See other comments about the game at http://www.afl.com.au/news/2017-04-16/five-talking-points-collingwood-v-st-kilda-r4. Ultimately it is the numbers that will decide the coach’s success.
Our Best: I’m highly critical of the listed Best being picked, seemingly, largely based on Disposal numbers. This week: Howe, Grundy, Sidebottom, Adams, Reid and Treloar. My comment last week focussed on individual effectiveness statistics based on the application of Disposal Efficiency (DE) to their ‘touches’. This week: Adams (39 Disposals @ 66.7% DE) was wasting every third possession; Sidebottom (31 Disposals @ 51.6% DE) was wasting every Second possession and Treloar (28 Disposals @ 67.9% DE) was also wasting every third touch; and they weren’t exceptional (unfortunately). The numbers are worth browsing. And Treloar’s unsuccessful attempt to repeat his ‘Goal of the Week’ as per last week, with Forwards standing all over the place, was a selfish move.
Check the other statistics: DE – we had five players with DE over 80%; they had eight. Conversely, our Clearances totalled 40 against their 22, neatly reflected at the Centre and at other Stoppages. This also, nearly, matched our Hit Outs (39) versus theirs (27). So, well done Mids, but the statistics about effectiveness remain – how often did we see a Mid, head-down, slam the ball onto his foot, with the ball neatly accepted by an opposition player; and their possession and drive forward commenced. Pressure, of course, impacts hugely on the DE; and it certainly is represented by the Tackle number comparison – our 56 vs their 87. Does the DE explain the failure to exploit our clear dominance? What else?
What was really ‘Best’ or ‘worked’, and stood out? Goldsack’s application throughout the game, an example of which was his run down and tackle on Armitage (I think) – simply outstanding (it should have been a ‘game-changer’); Schade’s game, also not a single incident but included his goal (not bad for a FB) and is measured throughout the game; and the Back 6 performance throughout, though there was a noticeable reduction in intensity in the Last Quarter (common to the whole team across the ground). And Grundy gets better and better and is the ultimate opportunist – well done. I would remove Sidebottom, Adams and Treloar from the Best list. I would add Goldsack, Hoskin-Elliott (he is providing great drive off the Wing), Howe and Schade in their place. And, while his numbers don’t really show it, Varcoe has a huge impact on the game, routinely turning up to take the ball in attack or in defence – his application is terrific. What worked, or didn’t work? I thought our Forward Line Game Plan didn’t work. We need to take a different philosophical approach to how it could work in the future – reduce the focus on Darcy / spread the load / be more dynamic in terms of entry points / stop the ‘up and under’ entries / vary the goal scorers / applaud the Goal Assisters. The rest of the Game Plan was okay and our individual matches were okay (no opposition player cut us loose) but our application was unacceptable. Your thoughts?
VFL. Round 1. A Win to the Two’s. Match report at http://www.collingwoodfc.com.au/news/2017-04-15/de-goey-stars-as-pies-edge-coburg. Best – De Goey (not available to the AFL side for a couple more weeks – we all know why), Dunn and Kelly down Back and Mayne and Daicos Forward. Cox also did well; as did Wells in his first hit-out in the B&W. Changes in the AFL side next week? See below.
Round 9 – Sunday, 23 April – Magpies vs Giants; tip-off at 1.00pm in Sydney. The Giants are sitting comfortably at the top of the Table – https://supernetball.com.au/ladders/; we are sitting Fourth with 4 Wins from eight games – percentage: 105% – this game will be a big ask. Game coverage via Telstra. Go girls.
To know more about the team and the game go to: http://magpiesnetball.com.au/ and https://supernetball.com.au/teams/magpies-netball/.
Our Game? Round 5 – Tuesday, 25 April (Anzac Day): Collingwood vs Essendon at the MCG; bounce: 3.20pm – another ‘blockbuster’. Essendon – 11th versus our – 13th place on the Ladder; 92.7% vs our 86.7%. Essendon have two Wins so far this season but have Lost their last two against Carlton, in appalling conditions, and Adelaide (not at all a surprise given how Adelaide are travelling). Earlier Wins against Hawthorn and Brisbane (comments on both really need to be adjusted in terms of their opponents’ seasons, so far). And us? We’ve managed to beat one team by one point in our four games, so far this season. That said, none of our opponents, WB, Richmond, Sydney and St Kilda, could fairly be described as ‘easy-beats’ (Regarding Essendon’s wins, does anyone want to identify Hawthorn as an ‘easy-beat’?). I don’t think either side goes into this game as a clear favourite.
Teams. Selections on Saturday. Go to http://www.collingwoodfc.com.au/.
Essendon. Early in the season with a variety of performances, nothing useful from 2016.
Things & People to watch for? McGrath has been listed as Interchange for three games and one from the Back Pocket. “Danger Will Robinson“, he is seriously achieving. Last week: 28 Possessions @ 85.7% DE, with 4 Tackles and involvement in 5 scores. He is also the No 1 Draft pick and and the first Essendon Rising Star nominee for 2017. Others to watch: Daniher and Merritt up Forwards, Heppell, Watson, Zaharakis and Parish amongst the Mids and Kelly, Goddard and Hurley down Back.
Implications? Interesting statistics regarding Hit Outs & Clearances focussing on ruckwork and Mid dominance. Essendon have been beaten in each game this season in Hit Outs and in Clearances (with the exception of being level in Clearances last week). I would hope that Grundy will have a strong day; he should be able to contribute strongly to our Mids’ dominance. Once again it looks as if whichever team dominates the Midfield will have a definite advantage in winning the game (as I should, in fairness, acknowledge we should have been in a position to do last week). Consideration needs to be given to tagging McGrath and manning against Daniher and Merritt (probably Schade and Reid) keeping Goldsack up your sleeve to respond as a ‘run with’ player with Heppell or Zaharakis. Your thoughts?
An nine day turnaround for us; one more for them. They are above us on the Ladder and they should be seen as favourites.
Mids. An outstanding and consistent Disposal collection by our Mids, so far this year, but the wastage is astonishing. I continue to have concerns about Grundy’s replacement when he’s resting (or, God forbid, ever injured) – I don’t consider White a good enough ruck and continue to watch Keeffe (or Cox) as a potential replacement (for White).
Backs? The Back 6 are doing really well. I think an ‘extra man’ to provide ‘third man up’ capability is critical – Scharenberg or Dunn? But who to drop? The kick-ins are improving, but are not faultless yet. Still need work.
Forwards? We wasted our opportunities when we dominated last week, as in nearly every game so far this season – a continuing problem. Restructure the Forward line – Pendles to CHF, maybe sharing a two-person HF line with Darcy; Keeffe at FF in vice White; Fas to stay; Daicos in vice Elliott; Wells in. I think that adds up to six; but if you want to shift one Back then one has to go.
Changes? Your thoughts?
We can win this.
Weather? Clearing showers; 12 – 17 deg. Likely to be a wet and slippery ball and surface. Avoid the moulded sole boots.
- Michael Christian’s Agenda at http://www.collingwoodfc.com.au/video/2017-04-17/an-anzac-day-nobrainer. This is worth watching.
- AFL Match Day Preview – http://www.afl.com.au/match-centre/2017/5/ess-v-coll. There now; their prediction – Essendon by 12 points.
- Natoli’s ‘Ultimate Preview’ will be on the Pies Home Page at http://www.collingwoodfc.com.au/ in the next few days.
- The Age Preview – Should be at http://www.theage.com.au/aflalso in a few days.
- Expert Tips – will be at http://www.theage.com.au/afl/expert-tipsters. Last week saw 16 for us vs 8 for a Saints’ Win. Perhaps of more significance was the fact that of those who picked the Saints included Carey, Judd, Baum and Connolly (just some who know what they are talking about). This week? In a few days – who knows – Mr Shorten and I will undoubtedly pick the Pies for a win. .
My Picks. Pies by 11 points. BOG: Pendles (at CHF) – 26 touches @ 93.0% DE and three goals and five Goal Assists; other Goals to Wells – four and Fas – two. Darcy – four Goal Assists. Crowd: 87, 000. Best competition: Treloar vs Parish.
TV? Free to Air on 7mate live from 3.00pm. Importantly, for those overseas (and I know some of you are – Hope two of you enjoyed your time together in Vienna?), AFL Live Overseas is changing. Go to: http://www.afl.com.au/news/2017-03-18/new-service-to-bring-live-afl-to-international-fans.
VFL. Round 2, Sunday, 23 April; bounce at 1.00pm. Versus Essendon at Windy Hill.
- ‘Eddie Watch’. Still quiet. We have to start winning, so Eddie can cut loose.
- Next year – bigger Lists – http://www.afl.com.au/news/2017-04-05/larger-lists-locked-in-for-second-season-of-aflw.
Reporting. C’mon ‘Reply to All’ – all views are welcome – I know some of you go to this game every year – Reports pls?
Footy Almanac. Remember our little brief gets lodged online at The Footy Almanac site at http://www.footyalmanac.com.au/.