It’s a familiar game plan.
For Flemington, query how the track will be racing. For Sydney, consult the weather forecast.
HQ has copped a whack, though punters shouldn’t whinge. Don’t bet early! It’s reasonable to deliberate on the likely pattern, especially for the straight course. Though, perhaps, “stakeholders” should do so more tactfully than M.Payne who should have a poster of Mick Goodie on her wall rather than on the dartboard. Until evidence suggests otherwise, I’m favouring inside marbles and on-pacers, but recognising that this can generate “forward pressure” and a resultant opportunity for some late swooping.
The “super” day is littered with features. The fields are OK – probably not vintage.
I want to watch MR3 (1100m, 3yo). Ken’s Dream should beat these. Unbeaten Matty adds interest. There are a couple of others to be monitored. Sweet Sherry is a likely type, but both she and Waterloo Sunset have drawn terribly and will perhaps have other ambitions.
A safe bet to kick off the Quaddy appears to be Miss Rose de Lago. Leads and wins at backable odds.
In the Newmarket (MR7) I’ll remain true (for now) to Star Turn.
The Australian Cup (MR8) has some depth but Jameka does look the measuring stick. I might E/W Ecuador to get a soft run.
Up at Rosehill they have the fantastic Coolmore card, nowadays consistently a better fixture than its Flemington challenger but, as always, clouded by the relentless rain…Heavy9 today (Wednesday). Do your form for wet trackers and watch for the better going. The “bad” draws might be good. I’m (gulp!!) tempted to tackle the $34 First Seal (SR7, No1) from Barrier 17 (last time, I promise).
The stakes are high so I’m keen to get involved on Saturday – they’ll be trying.
As usual for a holiday weekend, there are dozens of meetings. A trend of recent times has been that the Monday is really poorly attended – expect Moonee Valley to be ghost town for their card which coincides with Morphettville’s Adelaide Cup. Hopefully the SA public turn up for what once was a big day out.
Tips and suggestions welcomed.